4/20/2004 - Future Horizons, Europe's leading semiconductor analyst, spotlighted RFID technology as a significant growth driver for the electronics sector over the next six years. In its 2004 Key Market Drivers Report, Future Horizons predicts that RFID semiconductors will grow by 255 per cent from $900 million in 2003 to $2.3 billion in 2010.
The market for RFID tags is split into two categories: passive tags which get all their energy from the transmission field for short distance applications such as barcode replacement for library books and supermarket goods; and active tags which contain a small battery that enables the tag to transmit over long distances for tracking higher value items such as livestock and pharmaceuticals.
The market for tags as a "bar code replacement" offers the highest volume opportunity with manufactures are still striving to cost reduce and optimise this 'label' tagging technology. Future Horizons predicts that the advent of polymer electronics will be the catalyst for this market segment.
Future Horizons reports that the market for non-label tags was 300 million units in 2003, rising to a forecasted 1 billion units in 2004, whilst the market for label tags was 300 million units in 2003, rising to a forecast 65 billion units in 2010.
"The RFID market is currently polarised. The use RFID tags for applications such as baggage, postal, animal husbandry, prisoner tagging is well advanced with volumes running in tens of millions, but the ultra-high volumes will come from tags in shop labelling, personal medical and bank note security, where the technology is still in development but will come on stream in 2005 and beyond," said Malcolm Penn, Chief Executive Office, Future Horizons.
Future Horizons reports that the market for RFID is being driven by retailers who are demanding that suppliers deliver RFID tagged products for certain products lines, with an inability to comply resulting in the product line no longer being carried.
The 2004 Key Market Drivers Report reports on the opportunity that RFID technology offers electronics manufactures in antenna, integrated circuit, packaging and assembly, and predicts the volume ramp-up on a year-by-year basis through to 2010 for both label and non-label tags. The annual analysis and forecast of the worldwide semiconductor key application markets is available from Future Horizons priced £1,150.
About Future Horizons
Future Horizons, founded in 1989, is Europe's leading semiconductor analyst. It provides market research and business support services for use in opportunity analysis, business planning and new market development. Its industry information seminars and Forums are widely considered to be the best of their kind. Future Horizons publishes a series of monthly, half-yearly and annual market reports, with emphasis is placed on the worldwide microelectronics and electronics industry and the European market environment. See www.futurehorizons.com for further information.
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